ARI 2-3 · Cardinals · raw #9 -> down 3 ADJ #12raw #9
IND 4-1 · Colts · raw #3 -> down 4 ADJ #7raw #3
SUN 1:00 PM ARI at IND spread 8.5 - O/U 46.5 ARI rest 7d IND rest 7d non-division market context only
The basics
| ARI | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Points per game | 20.6 | 32.6 |
| Points allowed per game | 19.2 | 17.8 |
| Against the spread | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Over / under | 2-3 | 2-3 |
Last 5 - newest first
ARIlast 5
W5 - vs TEN L 21-22 -7.5 X
W4 - vs SEA L 20-23 +1.5 X
W3 - at SF L 15-16 +1.5 C
W2 - vs CAR W 27-22 -7.0 X
W1 - at NO W 20-13 -6.0 C
INDlast 5
W5 - vs LV W 40-6 -7.0 C
W4 - at LA L 20-27 +3.5 X
W3 - at TEN W 41-20 -6.0 C
W2 - vs DEN W 29-28 +2.5 C
W1 - vs MIA W 33-8 -1.5 C
C = covered the spread. X = did not cover. Spread shown is that team's closing number.
Advanced · identity
Opponent-adjusted efficiency. Longer context comes from the source JSON and markdown reports.
Adj EPA/play +0.074 #12/32 +0.125 #7/32
Adj offense EPA +0.005 #17/32 +0.068 #11/32
Adj defense EPA +0.069 #6/32 +0.057 #8/32
Pass EPA/play +0.050 #17/32 +0.271 #4/32
Rush EPA/play -0.047 #20/32 +0.047 #13/32
View full stats
Drivers
| Team | Early down | Explosive | Explosive allowed | Pressure diff | Blitz faced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 38.8% #28/32 | 5.2% #30/32 | 7.1% #14/32 | +1.7% #16/32 | 19.4% #5/32 |
| IND | 47.6% #9/32 | 8.1% #15/32 | 6.8% #10/32 | +7.2% #9/32 | 32.0% #26/32 |
Honesty stats
Recent form
ARI+0.108 #7/32
IND-0.169 #29/32
Turnover margin / game
ARI+0.00 #16/32
IND+1.00 #5/32
Fumble recovery share
ARI57.1% #13/32
IND100.0% #1/32
Red-zone TD / play
ARI25.6% #8/32
IND21.1% #15/32
Red-zone EPA / play
ARI+0.063 #19/32
IND+0.110 #16/32
Injury report
information only - never adjusts the stats - data through 2026-07-11T12:41 ARI14 rows
Out Darius RobinsonDT Pectoral
Out Blake GillikinP Back
Questionable Max MeltonCB Hamstring
Questionable Bilal NicholsDT Not injury related - personal matter
Questionable Cody SimonLB Knee
Questionable Mack WilsonLB Ankle
Questionable Kyler MurrayQB Foot
Questionable Zay JonesWR Knee
Full Participation in Practice Will JohnsonCB Groin
Did Not Participate In Practice Calais CampbellDT Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Evan BrownG Hamstring
Full Participation in Practice Will HernandezG Knee
Full Participation in Practice Jonah WilliamsT Foot
Full Participation in Practice Kelvin BeachumT Not injury related - resting player
IND9 rows
Out Kenny Moore IICB Achilles
Out Tyler GoodsonRB Groin
Did Not Participate In Practice Charvarius WardCB Not injury related - resting player
Limited Participation in Practice Samson EbukamDE Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Tyquan LewisDE Illness
Did Not Participate In Practice DeForest BucknerDT Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Grover StewartDT Biceps, Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Braden SmithT Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Alec PierceWR Concussion
Model corner - collapsed by default
Model margin
3.3 vs ARI
Market margin
8.5 vs ARI
Edge
+5.2
Model side
ARI +8.5
One model input, not the answer. View the tracked model profile ->