CHI 2-2 · Bears · raw #22 -> up 1 ADJ #21raw #22
WAS 3-2 · Commanders · raw #13 -> no move ADJ #13raw #13
MON 8:15 PM CHI at WAS spread 5.5 - O/U 49.5 CHI rest 15d WAS rest 8d non-division market context only
The basics
| CHI | WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Points per game | 25.3 | 26.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 29.3 | 20.2 |
| Against the spread | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Over / under | 3-1 | 2-3 |
Last 5 - newest first
CHIlast 5
W4 - at LV W 25-24 +1.5 C
W3 - vs DAL W 31-14 +1.5 C
W2 - at DET L 21-52 +6.0 X
W1 - vs MIN L 24-27 +1.5 X
WASlast 5
W5 - at LAC W 27-10 +2.5 C
W4 - at ATL L 27-34 +2.5 X
W3 - vs LV W 41-24 -2.5 C
W2 - at GB L 18-27 +3.5 X
W1 - vs NYG W 21-6 -6.0 C
C = covered the spread. X = did not cover. Spread shown is that team's closing number.
Advanced · identity
Opponent-adjusted efficiency. Longer context comes from the source JSON and markdown reports.
Adj EPA/play -0.074 #21/32 +0.060 #13/32
Adj offense EPA -0.053 #23/32 +0.095 #9/32
Adj defense EPA -0.021 #17/32 -0.035 #19/32
Pass EPA/play +0.071 #16/32 -0.002 #20/32
Rush EPA/play -0.134 #29/32 +0.170 #2/32
View full stats
Drivers
| Team | Early down | Explosive | Explosive allowed | Pressure diff | Blitz faced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 40.3% #26/32 | 9.4% #8/32 | 10.9% #29/32 | +2.1% #15/32 | 26.7% #18/32 |
| WAS | 50.3% #3/32 | 9.6% #6/32 | 7.6% #18/32 | +3.4% #14/32 | 32.9% #29/32 |
Honesty stats
Recent form
CHI-0.105 #25/32
WAS-0.161 #28/32
Turnover margin / game
CHI+1.25 #3/32
WAS+0.00 #17/32
Fumble recovery share
CHI71.4% #6/32
WAS44.4% #21/32
Red-zone TD / play
CHI17.1% #25/32
WAS26.2% #5/32
Red-zone EPA / play
CHI-0.079 #24/32
WAS+0.368 #4/32
Injury report
information only - never adjusts the stats - data through 2026-07-11T12:41 CHI11 rows
Out Grady JarrettDT Knee
Questionable Austin BookerDE Knee
Questionable Cairo SantosK Thigh
Questionable Travis HomerRB Calf
Questionable Colston LovelandTE Hip
Full Participation in Practice Kyler GordonCB Hamstring
Full Participation in Practice Jonah JacksonG Rib
Full Participation in Practice T.J. EdwardsLB Hamstring
Full Participation in Practice Kyle MonangaiRB Thigh
Full Participation in Practice Jaquan BriskerS Quadricep
Full Participation in Practice Darnell WrightT Elbow
WAS8 rows
Out Sam CosmiG Knee
Out Noah BrownWR Groin, Knee
Out Terry McLaurinWR Quadricep
Questionable Eddie GoldmanDT Illness
Questionable Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB Calf
Questionable Deebo Samuel Sr.WR Heel
Full Participation in Practice Jayden DanielsQB Knee
Full Participation in Practice John BatesTE Shoulder
Model corner - collapsed by default
Model margin
6.2 vs CHI
Market margin
5.5 vs CHI
Edge
-0.7
Model side
WAS -5.5
One model input, not the answer. View the tracked model profile ->