CLE 1-4 · Browns · raw #26 -> up 2 ADJ #24raw #26
PIT 3-1 · Steelers · raw #19 -> down 3 ADJ #22raw #19
SUN 1:00 PM CLE at PIT spread 5.5 - O/U 37.5 CLE rest 7d PIT rest 14d division game market context only
The basics
| CLE | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Points per game | 14.6 | 24.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 24.6 | 24.5 |
| Against the spread | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Over / under | 2-3 | 3-1 |
Last 5 - newest first
CLElast 5
W5 - vs MIN L 17-21 +3.5 X
W4 - at DET L 10-34 +10.0 X
W3 - vs GB W 13-10 +8.5 C
W2 - at BAL L 17-41 +12.5 X
W1 - vs CIN L 16-17 +5.5 C
PITlast 5
W4 - vs MIN W 24-21 +2.5 C
W3 - at NE W 21-14 -1.5 C
W2 - vs SEA L 17-31 -3.5 X
W1 - at NYJ W 34-32 -3.0 X
C = covered the spread. X = did not cover. Spread shown is that team's closing number.
Advanced · identity
Opponent-adjusted efficiency. Longer context comes from the source JSON and markdown reports.
Adj EPA/play -0.148 #24/32 -0.075 #22/32
Adj offense EPA -0.163 #29/32 -0.011 #18/32
Adj defense EPA +0.015 #14/32 -0.064 #24/32
Pass EPA/play -0.216 #29/32 +0.100 #12/32
Rush EPA/play +0.005 #16/32 -0.030 #19/32
View full stats
Drivers
| Team | Early down | Explosive | Explosive allowed | Pressure diff | Blitz faced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 30.9% #32/32 | 5.1% #31/32 | 6.2% #6/32 | -5.8% #24/32 | 27.6% #19/32 |
| PIT | 45.6% #13/32 | 5.9% #26/32 | 10.1% #28/32 | +1.4% #17/32 | 30.8% #25/32 |
Honesty stats
Recent form
CLE+0.013 #14/32
PIT+0.368 #1/32
Turnover margin / game
CLE-0.80 #27/32
PIT+1.75 #1/32
Fumble recovery share
CLE42.9% #24/32
PIT88.9% #2/32
Red-zone TD / play
CLE16.3% #27/32
PIT23.1% #14/32
Red-zone EPA / play
CLE+0.200 #9/32
PIT+0.157 #13/32
Injury report
information only - never adjusts the stats - data through 2026-07-11T12:41 CLE15 rows
Out Mike Hall Jr.DT Knee
Full Participation in Practice Ethan PocicC Neck
Full Participation in Practice Denzel WardCB Hip
Limited Participation in Practice Greg Newsome IICB Hamstring
Full Participation in Practice Myles GarrettDE Ankle
Full Participation in Practice Maliek CollinsDT Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Shelby HarrisDT Not injury related - resting player, Knee
Full Participation in Practice Joel BitonioG Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Raheim SandersRB Ankle, Knee
Limited Participation in Practice Damontae KazeeS Illness
Full Participation in Practice Grant DelpitS Ankle
Full Participation in Practice Jack ConklinT Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice KT LevestonT Calf
Full Participation in Practice David NjokuTE Knee
Full Participation in Practice Malachi CorleyWR Groin
PIT10 rows
Full Participation in Practice Darius SlayCB Not injury related - resting player
Did Not Participate In Practice Jalen RamseyCB Hamstring
Full Participation in Practice Joey Porter Jr.CB Hamstring
Did Not Participate In Practice Cameron HeywardDT Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Alex HighsmithLB Ankle
Full Participation in Practice T.J. WattLB Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Jaylen WarrenRB Knee
Full Participation in Practice Ben SkowronekWR Illness
Did Not Participate In Practice Calvin Austin IIIWR Shoulder
Did Not Participate In Practice DK MetcalfWR Not injury related - resting player
Model corner - collapsed by default
Model margin
4.1 vs CLE
Market margin
5.5 vs CLE
Edge
+1.4
Model side
CLE +5.5
One model input, not the answer. View the tracked model profile ->