DEN 3-2 · Broncos · raw #6 -> down 3 ADJ #9raw #6
NYJ 0-5 · Jets · raw #30 -> down 2 ADJ #32raw #30
SUN 9:30 AM DEN at NYJ spread -7.5 - O/U 43.5 DEN rest 7d NYJ rest 7d non-division market context only
The basics
| DEN | NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Points per game | 23.4 | 22.4 |
| Points allowed per game | 16.8 | 31.4 |
| Against the spread | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Over / under | 1-4 | 4-1 |
Last 5 - newest first
DENlast 5
W5 - at PHI W 21-17 +3.5 C
W4 - vs CIN W 28-3 -7.5 C
W3 - at LAC L 20-23 +2.5 X
W2 - at IND L 28-29 -2.5 X
W1 - vs TEN W 20-12 -8.5 X
NYJlast 5
W5 - vs DAL L 22-37 -1.5 X
W4 - at MIA L 21-27 +2.5 X
W3 - at TB L 27-29 +6.5 C
W2 - vs BUF L 10-30 +6.0 X
W1 - vs PIT L 32-34 +3.0 C
C = covered the spread. X = did not cover. Spread shown is that team's closing number.
Advanced · identity
Opponent-adjusted efficiency. Longer context comes from the source JSON and markdown reports.
Adj EPA/play +0.107 #9/32 -0.346 #32/32
Adj offense EPA +0.076 #10/32 -0.230 #32/32
Adj defense EPA +0.032 #10/32 -0.116 #26/32
Pass EPA/play +0.084 #14/32 -0.168 #28/32
Rush EPA/play +0.049 #12/32 -0.089 #25/32
View full stats
Drivers
| Team | Early down | Explosive | Explosive allowed | Pressure diff | Blitz faced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 42.6% #21/32 | 9.0% #10/32 | 5.2% #2/32 | +16.9% #2/32 | 18.0% #2/32 |
| NYJ | 45.6% #12/32 | 11.0% #3/32 | 9.9% #27/32 | -23.1% #32/32 | 43.1% #32/32 |
Honesty stats
Recent form
DEN-0.086 #21/32
NYJ-0.022 #16/32
Turnover margin / game
DEN+0.00 #15/32
NYJ-1.60 #32/32
Fumble recovery share
DEN60.0% #9/32
NYJ13.3% #32/32
Red-zone TD / play
DEN26.8% #3/32
NYJ18.6% #22/32
Red-zone EPA / play
DEN+0.355 #5/32
NYJ+0.192 #11/32
Injury report
information only - never adjusts the stats - data through 2026-07-11T12:41 DEN7 rows
Out Ben PowersG Biceps
Out Jonah EllissLB Ribs, Shoulder
Questionable Malcolm RoachDT Calf
Full Participation in Practice D.J. JonesDT Shoulder
Full Participation in Practice Alex SingletonLB Thumb
Full Participation in Practice Nik BonittoLB Wrist
Full Participation in Practice Tyler BadieRB Shoulder
NYJ8 rows
Out Michael Carter IICB Concussion
Out Ja'Markis WestonLB Groin
Out Allen LazardWR Not injury related - personal matter
Questionable Brandon StephensCB Neck
Full Participation in Practice Jermaine Johnson IIDE Ankle
Full Participation in Practice Quinnen WilliamsDT Groin
Full Participation in Practice Justin FieldsQB Knee
Full Participation in Practice Kene NwangwuRB Hamstring
Model corner - collapsed by default
Model margin
DEN by 14.4
Market margin
DEN by 7.5
Edge
+6.9
Model side
DEN -7.5
One model input, not the answer. View the tracked model profile ->