LAC 3-2 · Chargers · raw #10 -> down 4 ADJ #14raw #10
MIA 1-4 · Dolphins · raw #25 -> down 5 ADJ #30raw #25
SUN 1:00 PM LAC at MIA spread -3.5 - O/U 45.5 LAC rest 7d MIA rest 7d non-division market context only
The basics
| LAC | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Points per game | 19.6 | 21.4 |
| Points allowed per game | 19.6 | 29.0 |
| Against the spread | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Over / under | 1-4 | 4-1 |
Last 5 - newest first
LAClast 5
W5 - vs WAS L 10-27 -2.5 X
W4 - at NYG L 18-21 -6.0 X
W3 - vs DEN W 23-20 -2.5 C
W2 - at LV W 20-9 -3.5 C
W1 - vs KC W 27-21 +3.0 C
MIAlast 5
W5 - at CAR L 24-27 -1.5 X
W4 - vs NYJ W 27-21 -2.5 C
W3 - at BUF L 21-31 +12.5 C
W2 - vs NE L 27-33 -1.5 X
W1 - at IND L 8-33 +1.5 X
C = covered the spread. X = did not cover. Spread shown is that team's closing number.
Advanced · identity
Opponent-adjusted efficiency. Longer context comes from the source JSON and markdown reports.
Adj EPA/play +0.049 #14/32 -0.302 #30/32
Adj offense EPA +0.009 #15/32 -0.099 #25/32
Adj defense EPA +0.040 #9/32 -0.202 #32/32
Pass EPA/play -0.029 #22/32 +0.120 #11/32
Rush EPA/play +0.094 #8/32 -0.078 #23/32
View full stats
Drivers
| Team | Early down | Explosive | Explosive allowed | Pressure diff | Blitz faced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 40.2% #27/32 | 7.7% #17/32 | 8.1% #21/32 | -7.1% #26/32 | 23.9% #11/32 |
| MIA | 37.6% #29/32 | 5.3% #28/32 | 11.4% #31/32 | -4.9% #23/32 | 21.3% #8/32 |
Honesty stats
Recent form
LAC-0.184 #31/32
MIA+0.237 #4/32
Turnover margin / game
LAC-0.60 #23/32
MIA+0.00 #19/32
Fumble recovery share
LAC22.2% #28/32
MIA63.6% #7/32
Red-zone TD / play
LAC15.0% #28/32
MIA25.0% #10/32
Red-zone EPA / play
LAC-0.231 #29/32
MIA+0.440 #1/32
Injury report
information only - never adjusts the stats - data through 2026-07-11T12:41 LAC12 rows
Out Da'Shawn HandDE Groin
Out Joe AltT Ankle
Out Trey PipkinsT Knee
Out Derius DavisWR Knee
Questionable Bud DupreeDE Hamstring
Questionable Scott MatlockFB Ankle, Not injury related - personal matter
Questionable Jamaree SalyerG Knee
Questionable Denzel PerrymanLB Ankle
Questionable Quentin JohnstonWR Hamstring
Full Participation in Practice Ja'Sir TaylorCB Illness
Full Participation in Practice Mekhi BectonG Hand
Full Participation in Practice Keenan AllenWR Not injury related - resting player
MIA8 rows
Out Tyrel DodsonLB Concussion
Out Elijah CampbellS Quadricep
Questionable Aaron BrewerC Pectoral
Questionable Storm DuckCB Ankle
Full Participation in Practice Tua TagovailoaQB Hip, Thumb
Full Participation in Practice Larry BoromT Thumb
Limited Participation in Practice Darren WallerTE Hip, Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Cedrick Wilson Jr.WR Knee
Model corner - collapsed by default
Model margin
LAC by 10.8
Market margin
LAC by 3.5
Edge
+7.3
Model side
LAC -3.5
One model input, not the answer. View the tracked model profile ->