SEA 3-2 · Seahawks · raw #17 -> up 12 ADJ #5raw #17
JAX 4-1 · Jaguars · raw #15 -> down 1 ADJ #16raw #15
SUN 1:00 PM SEA at JAX spread -1.5 - O/U 47.5 SEA rest 7d JAX rest 6d non-division market context only
The basics
| SEA | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Points per game | 29.2 | 25.4 |
| Points allowed per game | 21.0 | 20.0 |
| Against the spread | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Over / under | 3-2 | 3-2 |
Last 5 - newest first
SEAlast 5
W5 - vs TB L 35-38 -3.5 X
W4 - at ARI W 23-20 -1.5 C
W3 - vs NO W 44-13 -7.5 C
W2 - at PIT W 31-17 +3.5 C
W1 - vs SF L 13-17 +2.5 X
JAXlast 5
W5 - vs KC W 31-28 +3.5 C
W4 - at SF W 26-21 +3.5 C
W3 - vs HOU W 17-10 -1.5 C
W2 - at CIN L 27-31 +3.5 X
W1 - vs CAR W 26-10 -4.5 C
C = covered the spread. X = did not cover. Spread shown is that team's closing number.
Advanced · identity
Opponent-adjusted efficiency. Longer context comes from the source JSON and markdown reports.
Adj EPA/play +0.133 #5/32 +0.005 #16/32
Adj offense EPA +0.114 #6/32 +0.041 #14/32
Adj defense EPA +0.019 #11/32 -0.035 #20/32
Pass EPA/play +0.271 #3/32 +0.024 #19/32
Rush EPA/play -0.073 #21/32 +0.096 #7/32
View full stats
Drivers
| Team | Early down | Explosive | Explosive allowed | Pressure diff | Blitz faced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 46.6% #10/32 | 11.7% #2/32 | 6.6% #8/32 | +8.2% #7/32 | 35.9% #30/32 |
| JAX | 48.2% #7/32 | 6.3% #23/32 | 7.1% #13/32 | +10.4% #6/32 | 18.2% #3/32 |
Honesty stats
Recent form
SEA+0.243 #3/32
JAX-0.104 #24/32
Turnover margin / game
SEA+0.20 #10/32
JAX+1.60 #2/32
Fumble recovery share
SEA14.3% #31/32
JAX75.0% #5/32
Red-zone TD / play
SEA28.3% #1/32
JAX19.6% #21/32
Red-zone EPA / play
SEA+0.197 #10/32
JAX-0.070 #23/32
Injury report
information only - never adjusts the stats - data through 2026-07-11T12:41 SEA10 rows
Out Riq WoolenCB Concussion
Out Derick HallLB Oblique
Out Josh JonesT Ankle
Doubtful Devon WitherspoonCB Knee
Doubtful Julian LoveS Hamstring
Full Participation in Practice Jarran ReedDT Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice Brady RussellFB Wrist
Full Participation in Practice DeMarcus LawrenceLB Quadricep
Full Participation in Practice Ernest JonesLB Shoulder
Full Participation in Practice Nick EmmanworiS Ankle
JAX11 rows
Doubtful Robert HainseyC Hamstring
Questionable Yasir AbdullahLB Hamstring
Limited Participation in Practice Travon WalkerDE Wrist
Limited Participation in Practice Ezra ClevelandG Ankle
Limited Participation in Practice Patrick MekariG Knee
Full Participation in Practice Logan CookeP Not injury related - personal matter
Limited Participation in Practice Bhayshul TutenRB Shoulder
Limited Participation in Practice Eric MurrayS Neck
Limited Participation in Practice Anton HarrisonT Elbow
Limited Participation in Practice Chuma EdogaT Knee
Limited Participation in Practice Dyami BrownWR Shoulder
Model corner - collapsed by default
Model margin
SEA by 3.0
Market margin
SEA by 1.5
Edge
+1.5
Model side
SEA -1.5
One model input, not the answer. View the tracked model profile ->